Everybody wants a MERCEDES

“It's all in the mind.”
George Harrison



From, Business Insider- 
Mercedes-Benz just reported the best six months of sales in its history, with deliveries through June up 13%, to more than 783,000 units. Although sales in its German home market were flat over the period, buyers in the company’s other key markets turned up in droves:


No surprise here they have a brand. When you think about buying a car you know a Mercedes it's reliable, enduring reputation in engineering and some style. 

But there are other car's that are also reliable (LEXUS) but no one wants to have a LEXUS unless it's much cheaper. Why is that? Because Mercedes built a reputation and we trust a Mercedes. No surprises.

The important thing to keep a brand is no Surprises and no discounts. If they have a reputation for quality if they did a campain with big discounts that would hurt the Brand.

Only inferior products need to do discounts. I guess that is the way the mind of must people work.

I don't know if Mercedes didn't hurt the Brand a bit with Class A, it's a small car and Mercedes is a CEO car. Never confuse the prospect.

On the same subject last here






Big banks should be broken

Regional banks are trading well above book value.

Big Banks no.  Why is this since there are big economies of scale?

I guess in a huge bank the level of control is small, the CEO has to delegate big time and the room for big surprises is huge. That is the reason for the discount.







It's possible to go under doing Bread & Butter stuff

The too-big-to-fail concept originated in the 1980s when
Continental Illinois had to be rescued. That bank wasn’t
involved in exotic financial activities but rather
straightforward commercial banking, taking deposits
and making loans. Unfortunately, it made too many bad
loans, as have failed predecessors over the centuries.

A.Gary Shilling

The idea that banks go under because they engage in trading is not correct. I guess most of the Banks problems arise from

a)Cheap credit. To much credit at small spreads. Business at the wrong price.
b)Liquidity problem. Central Banks prevent this from happening.
c)loss of confidence. If this happens everybody want their money back now!

As A. Gary Shilling says in his excellent INSIGHT when a lot of people lose money there is a cosmic need for scapegoats. Derivatives & trading are easy ones but the most of the time the real reason for Bank failures is Cheap Credit. When you want to grow, be number one on the league tables you do business at the wrong price.




Zero interest rates = Zero GDP growth




In Japan you can borrow at almost zero for the past 10 years and GDP,  Real Estate & Stock's have moved zero! 10 years ago Nikkei was at 15,000 and now is still at 15,000.

Why when rates stay at zero the economy stall's, why?

a)Joseph Schumpeter believed that wealth and growth is created as capital moves 
from weak hands to strong hands. This cannot happen if capital has no cost. We 
have seen this in Japan, where zombie companies can survive forever, thanks to 
cheap capital injections, and prevent the re-allocation of scarce resources (land, 
labor, capital…) to managers best able to maximize returns. In Schumpeter’s 
world, the willingness to let inventions/more efficient operators kill obsolete 
businesses is key to societal progress. (From Gave Kal, The High Cost of Free Money)

b)People who have savings and were used to make a good living from getting money from deposits (My Mother) now live with much less money. What do they do, cut big time on expenses.

So once the market get's used to low rates the economy & the stock market is going to stall. However in Germany & in the US 10 year rates are still falling and that helps the market. I guess as long as the graph is from the upper left to the lower right stocks can climb a bit more.

Once you get to zero everything is going to stop.


One helmet per family max!

Can you find any worker in the Pic?

Ford's assembly line


I guess this is the present.

The way i see the future is a man controlling a machine. And one man controlling a machine can do the work of 100 man. That is the future and that man is going to make a good living.


The worst President since WWII

President Barack Obama is the worst president since World War II, according to a plurality of voters in a new poll published Wednesday.

The Quinnipiac University survey found 33% of American voters named Obama as the worst while 28% named his predecessor, George W. Bush.
"Over the span of 69 years of American history and 12 presidencies, President Barack Obama finds himself with President George W. Bush at the bottom of the popularity barrel," Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, said in a statement.


Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/poll-barack-obama-worst-modern-day-president-2014-7#ixzz36JuaVQSH



Well S&P is near all time high, close to 2000. The only 2 stock markets in the world that are at all time high's are Germany & USA. Since Americans don't like Obama at all 3 explanations come to mind:

a)market is at all time high because of the FED

b)The fact that Obama can not do much harm (He can't pass reforms on Congress) is good for the market.

In my country if the Government said the laws are going to stay unchanged for 5 years the stock market & the economy would go trough the roof. We are sick of reforms & new rules.

c)Perhaps people always name the current president the worst?